Interesting article by Robert Pape on how ISIS inspires lone wolves like Mateen. Worth reading: orlando-shooting-shows-how-isis-calls-shots/MmOsqLlQ4dvZXOGRpA9WkO/story.html
ISIS doesn't actually pick the lone wolf: he (or she) works on his own initiative. The lone wolf probably gets some ideas from ISIS. Some ideas: pick a soft target, acquire legal weapons. Does anyone need ISIS to tell them this?
If ISIS didn't exist, would any of this be happening? Yes, of course. This is still a rare event and the biggest shootings in the US prior to this had nothing to do with ISIS. (See Va Tech, Sandy Hook, etc.)
In Houston a few weeks ago a disturbed man shot up a gas station and a neighborhood. He was heavily armed and we are lucky the casualty count was low. He seemed paranoid about a number of things. No ISIS connection, but does it matter?
I doubt ISIS makes much head way with young men who are rational and non-suicidal. And Mateen's narcissism and self-loathing may have had more to do with this than ISIS, which just provided some "higher" justification. But, like everyone else, I'm speculating.
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